Model what could happen.
Monitor what does.

Sample your existing data, quantify and model risk, and know when critical assumptions change.

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How it works

Keep your assumptions honest

1
Data Samples
Connect CSVs, spreadsheets, SQL tables, hardware, and mobile in one place.
2
Distribution Library
Fit distributions for your key metrics and save them to your distribution library.
3
Monitoring
New data is checked continuously and flags the moment a distribution drifts.
4
Analysis
Our simulation tools integrate with your distribution library, so your analyses stay correct.

The analysis layer

Tools

Five tools, one curated library — a distribution you fit once for a demand forecast turns up automatically as an option in your reorder-point model, decision tree, or workflow sim. Re-fit it in one place and every model that uses it follows.

01 Estimator A forecast nobody trusts anymore. See the range behind the number. 02 Process Map A workflow that keeps missing its targets. Find where it actually breaks. 03 Decision Tree Two or three real options, no clear winner. Compare them by expected value. 04 Spreadsheet Sim A model that's one bad assumption from being wrong. Pressure-test it in place. 05 Inventory Sim Recurring stockouts or too much cash tied up in stock. Find the reorder point that fixes it.

In practice

See exactly what these tools can do for you

Real businesses, real results. Play with the numbers and see what you find — then open the app with one click.

Coffee shop

My morning rush is chaos. Customers are walking out. Do I need another person, or is something else broken?

Process Map See the walkthrough Retail

Last year I sold out in November. The year before I marked down 40% of my stock in January. There has to be a smarter way.

Spreadsheet Sim See the walkthrough Auto repair

We're booked two weeks out. I assume I need more capacity — but a third lift costs $38,000. What if I'm wrong?

Process Map See the walkthrough Healthcare

I book 30-minute appointments but patients wait half an hour past their slot. I've lost 4 patients this quarter and I don't know why.

Process Map See the walkthrough Professional services

My last four projects went over hours. I keep thinking it's bad luck. What if it isn't?

Estimator See the walkthrough Manufacturing

We promise 4 weeks. We hit it maybe 60% of the time. Customers are getting frustrated and I don't know if I need to hire or just reorganize.

Process Map See the walkthrough Construction / trades

My bids feel solid. But three out of my last five jobs came in over budget. I've been doing this for 12 years — am I missing something?

Spreadsheet Sim See the walkthrough

See all 8 examples

What's next

Coming soon

The toolkit doesn't stop at the browser. Here's what we're building next.

Mobile

iOS and Android apps for capturing observations on the spot and fitting distributions from your phone.

Spreadsheet plugins

Fit and insert distributions directly inside Google Sheets and Excel, without leaving your workbook.

Hardware sensors

A dedicated Zigbee coordinator + Wi-Fi bridge — see the Hub_v1 hardware in 3D.

Want early access? Get in touch

Pricing

Simple pricing

Start with a 14-day free trial — full access to every tool, no credit card required.

^$29

per user / month · annual plans available

14-day free trial — no credit card required

See full pricing

Get started

Start with your data, not a guess.

14-day free trial. No credit card.

Start your free trial

Model what could happen.Monitor what does.